and joining us now to explain why, she is he' here to share the ideas and thoughts with us. and great to have you here. i know there are a lot of political observers out there, not a lot, but a few who are actually making specific predictions about the winner. you're saying though, it's not certain at all. why? >> i'm saying that, uma, because if you look carefully at the eight or nine true swing states, remember, this is over in 40 states or so, you look at the real swing states and you burro down into the data, not just the polling data. there are trends and counter trends. it's mixed. i know a lot of people out there who think it's going to be a landslide and getting e-mails and tweets from them. more power to them maybe they're right, but i don't see it in the entrails of this election, at least prior to tuesday. >> uma: i think it's also very interesting to see, fascinating on both sides, how confident both the romney camp is and the obama camp happens to be at the moment about victory on tuesday, and also very interesting to see what's happening in those states like fl